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Marketing in the internet – as seen from Italy


No. 62 – February 27, 2001


 
Other articles on similar subjects
are published in English
in the monthly Offline column
 

 

loghino.gif (1071 byte) 1. Editorial: The world is changing
– but only in some parts


This issue of Netmarketing is about data and statistics (with a short summary of the analyses that are in the data section.)  As always, sources aren’t accurate and no numbers are “certain.”  However, after several years of working with statistics and observing how they evolve, I think some trends are relevant and worth watching.

The internet continues to grow. Not “exponentially”, with ups-and-downs, but overall quite consistently – and pretty fast. Many things can and will change, sometimes unexpectedly. But there is a clear growth pattern that has been clearly visible for at least twenty years.

We can divide the world, approximately, in three parts.

In the first, the internet has been well rooted for many years – and growth continues. Of course it includes North America and a substantial part of Europe – plus Australia, New Zealand, Japan (and a few other countries in Asia.)  There are considerable changes, and there will be more; but they occur in an environment where the internet isn’t “new.”  Though apparently ignored by many so-called “experts”, there is a relevant heritage of relationships, communities, culture, that may have its “historical” core in a relatively small number of people but has its own way of growing and evolving regardless of political, social or economic change – and regardless of technologies.

The second is “developing.”  It includes those countries (or parts of society in each country) where the internet was unknown, or experienced only by a very small number of people, until a relatively short while ago. In some of these areas there is fast growth. As in parts of Latin America and in a few places in Asia. The internet is growing rapidly in these parts of the world, reaching levels that are still far behind United States or Scandinavia but are getting quite close to “European” levels.

The third, that unfortunately includes three fourths of humanity, is almost completely excluded – and there are scarce signs of evolution. There are four types of problems.

There are political restrictions. In many countries there is hardly any freedom of information – and there is especially harsh repression of the internet, that is either prohibited or allowed only under strict control of the authorities.

There are cultural blocks, not because of difficulties in learning how to use the net (those can be overcome with some good training and patience) but for a lack of openness and willingness to understand diversity.

There are, of course, money problems. People in a state of extreme poverty can’t afford the cost of connection or of the necessary equipment. Many don’t even have a telephone – or electricity. What makes things worse is that often internet connections (and devices) are more expensive in low-income places that in the “rich” countries.

And there are technical problems. Not because using the net is difficult per se, but because the evolution of technologies, aimed at those people who are more prone to wasting money on unnecessarily expensive devices and useless “innovations”, is grotesquely unfit for those people who need reliable, stable, simple solutions –; and as cheap as possible. Technologies are moving in the wrong direction for all of us, but especially for the people who need them most. Information and dialogue can’t, by themselves, bring water to the thirsty, food to the starving, medicine and care to the diseased, freedom to the oppressed. But they are an essential tool for all effective solutions. The trend needs to be reversed radically if information technologies and communications are to be used as a key tool for the solution of humanity’s biggest problems.


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loghino.gif (1071 byte) 2. New worldwide data


Since November, 2000 the updates of internet data are no longer in this newsletter but in a separate section on this site. This is a short summary of some of the key findings in the latest international data.

There were 147 million internet hosts worldwide in December, 2001. This was the evolution in the last ten years.


  Number
of hosts
yearly
growth
1994 5,846,000 + 119 %
1995 12,881,000 + 120 %
1996 21,819,000 + 52 %
1997 29,670,000 + 36 %
1998 43,230,000 + 46 %
1999 72,398,000 + 67 %
2000 109,574,000 + 51 %
2001 147,345,000 + 35 %


This was the situation, at the end of year 2001, in the 22 countries with over 500,000 internet hosts.


  Number of hosts
December 2001
% growth
in a year
% of
  total 
Per 1000
inhabit.
United States 95,385,573 + 29.5 64.7 342.6
Japan 7,188,333 + 54.9 4.2 56.7
Canada 2,890,273 + 22.3 2.0 92.9
Germany 2,681,325 + 23.9 1.9 32.6
Netherlands 2,632,803 + 62.2 1.8 166.6
United Kingdom 2,462,936 +   7.5 1.7 41.9
Australia 2,288,584 + 41.6 1.6 123.1
Italy 2,284,457 + 40.1 1.6 39.9
Taiwan 1,712,539 + 56.3 1.2 78.2
France 1,670,649 + 21.5 1.1 28.3
Brazil 1,644,575 + 87.8 1,1 9.7
Spain 1,497,450 + 125.7 1.0 37.8
Sweden 1,141,093 + 49.4 0.8 128.2
Finland 944,670 + 22.4 0.6 181.7
Mexico 918,288 + 64.2 0.6 9.3
Russia 800,277 + 145.1 0.5 5.5
Denmark 707,141 + 62.4 0.5 133.4
Belgium 668,508 + 60.3 0.5 65.5
Austria 657,173 + 30.4 0.4 80.1
Poland 654,198 + 75.9 0.4 16.9
Norway 629,669 + 19.9 0.4 139.9
Switzerland 613,918 + 33.0 0.4 83.0
Total 147,344,723 + 34.5   9.0 *

* The “worldwide” density average is calculated excluding the United States.


This is an update of the graph for the 13 countries with over a million hosts.


Internet hosts in 13 countries
countries worldwide with over a million hosts

graph


If, for better readability of the graph, we exclude the United States, this is the situation for the other 21 countries with over 500,000 hosts.


Internet hosts in 21 countries
countries worldwide with over 500,000 hosts (United States excluded)

graph

There are strong differences in the speed of growth, as shown by this chart (United States and Japan excluded for better readability).

Internet hosts
Numbers in thousands

graph
The red part of bars shows growth in two years   (from 1999 to 2001)

Differences are even more obvious in the next chart, where the stages of evolution are shown as percentages.

Internet hosts
Percentages

graph

The next chart is an update on density (hosts per 100 inhabitants) in the 22 countries with over 500,000 hosts.


Internet hosts per 1000 inhabitants in 22 countries
 
graph

The density picture is even more obvious if seen as a map.

Internet hosts per 1000 inhabitants
 
map

And this is the situation in relation to income, for the same 22 countries as in the density graph.

Internet hosts in relation to income (GNP)
in 22 countries

 
graph

For more details and comments see the section on international data.

Another analysis leads to an approximate definition of the most relevant languages in the internet.

Languages in the internet
 
graph

Of course English is dominant, but eight other languages have a relevant role online. Trends indicate that Spanish is likely to become the second international language in the internet (expansion of the Chinese community online to its full potential will take longer.)  For more data and more detailed comments see the section on language communities.


Some other signs of evolution may be available in the next few months, but a full-scale international update will not be possible before July or August 2002.

 

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loghino.gif (1071 byte) 3. New European data


A more detailed analysis is in the European data section. Here are a few highlights – updated to December, 2001 (the first available statistics for year 2002 don’t show any relevant changes).

At the end of 2001 there were 22 million internet hosts in Europe –; about 15 percent of the world total. With this growth trend from 1990 to 2001.


1990 –        29,200
1991 –      129,700
1992 –      284,400
1993 –      553,400
1994 –   1,029,300
1995 –   2,206,400
1996 –   3,674,300
1997 –   5,790,000
1998 –   7,872,000
1999 – 10,268,000
2000 – 15,804,000
2001 – 22,332,000


This is the situation in the 19 European countries with over 100,000 internet hosts.


  Number if hosts
December 2001
% change
in a year
% of
Europe
Per 1000
inhabit.
Germany 2,681,325 + 23.9 12.0 32.6
Netherlands 2,632,803 + 62.2 11.8 166.6
United Kingdom 2,462,936 +  5.9 11.0 41.9
Italy 2,284,457 + 40.1 10.2 39.9
France 1,670,694 + 21.5 7.5 28.3
Spain 1,497,450 + 125.7 6.7 37.8
Sweden 1,141,093 + 49.4 5.1 128.2
Finland 944,670 + 22.4 4.2 181.7
Russia 800,277 + 139.3 3.6 5.5
Denmark 707,141 + 62.4 3.2 133.4
Belgium 668,508 + 41.8 3.0 65.5
Austria 657,173 + 30.4 2.9 80.1
Poland 654,198 + 75.9 2.5 16.9
Norway 629,669 + 19.9 2.8 139.9
Switzerland 613,918 + 33.0 2.8 83.0
Portugal 263,821 + 48.4 1.2 26.7
Czech Republic 215,525 + 33.6 1.0 21.1
Greece 182,812 + 23.0 0.8 17.3
Ireland 128,092 +